Observations

Life at the Speed of Progress, dd you see any of this coming, any of it? For Millennials, here is your future!

IS IT TRUE? WITH KODAK IT IS.

Back when I worked as a photographer for the dailies in the ’70’s, we talked about this future all while still shooting B&W. Color was still used on the Sunday papers.

In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10 years and, most people won’t see it coming.
Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on film again?

Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore’s law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became way superior and became mainstream in only a few short years. It will now happen again with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution. Welcome to the Exponential Age.

Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years. Uber is just a software tool, they don’t own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don’t own any properties.

Artificial Intelligence:
Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world . This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.

In the US, young lawyers already don’t get jobs. Because of IBM’s Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain. Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, its 4 times more accurate than human nurses.

Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans. (“NEVER!”/Albert)

Autonomous cars:
In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You won’t want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving. Our grandkids will never get a driver’s license and will never own a car. It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that. We can transform former parking spaces into parks. 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6 million miles (10 million km). That will save a million lives each year.

Most car companies will probably become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels. Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of Tesla.

Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.

Real estate ownership will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.

Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity. Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact. Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil. Energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that can’t last. Technology will take care of that strategy.

With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination of salt water now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter (@ 0.25 cents). We don’t have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.

Health:
The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There are companies who will build a medical device (called the “Tricorder” from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood sample and you breathe into it.

It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world-class medical analysis, nearly for free (Goodbye, medical establishment).

3D printing:
The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from $18,000 to $400 within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All major shoe companies have already started 3D printing shoes.
At the end of this year, new smart phones will have 3D scanning possibilities. You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home.

Some spare airplane parts are already 3D printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.

In China, they already 3D printed and built a complete 6-story office building. By 2027, 10% of everything that’s being produced will be 3D printed.

Business opportunities:
If you think of a niche you want to go in, first ask yourself: “In the future, do I think we will have that?” and if the answer is “yes”, how can you make that happen sooner?

If it doesn’t work with your phone, forget the idea. And any idea designed for success in the 20th century is doomed to failure in the 21st century.

Work:
70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a short time. This will require a rethink on wealth distribution.

Agriculture
There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future. Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field instead of working all day in their fields. Aeroponics will need much less water. The first Petri dish-produced veal, is now available and will be cheaper than cow-produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows. Imagine if we don’t need that space anymore.

There are several start-ups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contains more protein than meat. It will be labelled as “alternative protein source” (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).

There is an app called “moodies” which can already tell in which mood you’re in. By 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions, if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it’s being displayed when they’re telling the truth and when they’re not!

Have a Happy 2017!

International

One doubts that this will ever occur again since travel by Motor Vessel (MV) isn’t common now. This world moved to fast for the comforts and luxury of such mode of excursion.

This is possible only aboard a ship since other transport modes move too quickly to have this timing and position hold true.

The passenger steamer SS Warrimoo was quietly knifing its way through the waters of the mid-Pacific on its way from Vancouver to Australia.

The navigator had just finished working out a star fix and brought the result to the master, Captain John Phillips. The Warrimoo’s position was LAT.0 degrees 31′ N and LON.179 degrees30’W. The date was 30 December 1899.

First Mate Payton broke in…..”You know what this means…..we’re only a few miles from the intersection of the Equator and the International Date Line”
Captain Phillips was prankish enough to take full advantage of the opportunity for achieving this navigational freak of a lifetime. He called his navigators to the bridge to check and double check the ship’s position. He changed course slightly so as to bear directly on his mark. Then he adjusted the engine speed.

The calm weather and clear night worked in his favour.
At midnight the SS Warrimoo lay on the Equator at exactly the point where it crosses the International Date Line.

The consequences of this bizarre position were several.
The bow of the ship was in the Southern Hemisphere and the middle of summer.
The stern was in the Northern Hemisphere and in the middle of winter. The date in the aft part of the ship was 31 December 1899. Forward it was 1 January 1900.

This ship was therefore not only in two different days, two different months, two different years and two different seasons, but in two different centuries all at the same time.

We can’t imagine anyone taking the time to arrange something like this now. The world is more concerned with much more mundane matters like making war, cheating one another over a few farthings and on a more personal level, being quite uncivil toward each other.

Observations

Given that the EPA wants to control just about every aspect of your life, We here at Vermont Loon Watch believe they should have the best tools available at the lowest cost to the American taxpayer.
For water test kits, each field water sampling engineer needs to be supplied with the finest assortment of Flavor Straws.

Let them slurp and suck the pond and river waters to their hearts content and arriving back at the lab, they can give a first hand report on water quality. If necessary, an emesis bag for sample collecting can be made part of the kit.
Since all these individuals claim to be scientists, we doubt it necessary to remind them to keep their shot records up to date; Typhus, Typhoid, Cholera are important. Amoebic dysentery giardia, a variety of parasitic worms and some more of the rarer types should be noted as possible infections. There are prophylactics for most of these, be aware and be safe. We don’t want anything to happen to our EPA staffers.

All new employees of the EPA shall be required to start their EPA careers in the water quality section. After five years of genuine field work, they will advance to standing and occasional water (non-navigational) such as found in lawns and driveways.
With all this experience, they should be expert at identifying such bodies of wetness tat even waterfowl eschew.

Go get’em Social Justice Warriors!

Some kids are gifted

You have to believe she didn’t get this way by sitting in Mom’s basement playing Nintendo or fooling around with some dumbass iPhone. She puts any Millennial to shane.

http://www.chonday.com/Videos/pailirskilch4

Observations

How does that saying go? Oh yeah, Paybacks are a bitch!

Fox News’ Cavuto to CNN: How Does It Feel To Be Dismissed And Ignored? (Now, You’re The Ones Royally…Foxed)

President-elect Donald Trump shut down CNN’s Jim Acosta at his much-anticipated news conference on January 11. Trump slammed the news organization for being terrible.

You are fake news,” Trump said to Acosta after the reporter kept on interrupting the president-elect for a question following the remark.

“Mr. President-elect, that is not appropriate,” said Acosta.

Well, after eight years of Fox News bashing from the Left and the Obama White House, the tables have turned—and host Neil Cavuto seems to be enjoying CNN feeling the cold shoulder from the incoming Trump White House:

“What is it like not to be liked?” Cavuto said of CNN. “Not really fun, is it?” he added. He then says how CNN just can’t stand not being with the in-crowd anymore, while adding that it isn’t fun having their credibility challenged, or having the guy [the president] you’re covering thinking you’re the “piece of work.

Cavuto continued, saying, “it bugs you when someone questions whether you’re fair, doesn’t it? Or cuts you to your journalistic core, doesn’t it. It matters now when it’s about you, doesn’t it?” [snip]

You’re experiencing what we have been living. Now, you’re the ones royally…Foxed. And the irony is I feel your pain. You never came to our defense, so allow me to e come to yours: you’re better than Buzzfeed. But the buzz is that you’re getting fed to the wolves. Isn’t it obnoxious and unfair how some celebrate your plight, kind of feels like the way you celebrate ours, doesn’t it? They say payback is a bitch. If only you would take a moment to rewind the tape and see the shoe is on the other foot, or am I confusing it with the one now kicking you in the ass? You see it’s hard to tell from where I sit. Back then, your silence was deafening. Very different now, isn’t it? And I suspect, just suspect, now much fun, is it?

CNN is a major news organization that we often cite them on posts. Nevertheless, that doesn’t mean we can’t call them out when they’re part of what’s becoming a shoddy news story regarding memos compiled by a former British intelligence operative that reportedly shows the Russians have compromising information on Trump, including salacious details of aberrant sex acts. CNN didn’t publish the memos because they cannot be verified; Buzzfeed didn’t care. They posted them in full and with little to no redactions. As for the operative, now identified as Christopher Steele, he’s disappeared, with eyewitness accounts from his neighbors saying “he hurriedly left his home in Surrey,” which is near London. Members of the news media and the political class, specifically Sen. John McCain who gave additional memos to the FBI (the Bureau already had some on file), have known about this information for months. [snip]

If you missed this little bit of contention at Trump’s presser, you missed a great show. CNN got an ass kicking and the press found out that their day of leading a dog and pony show for public consumption are over.

Observations

With the upheaval in European Union; you saw the voter strike back in Italy. They wrapped Renzi in a jester outfit and point him down the road. The shakeup continues as gold firms up; those bozos who have played with notional gold which is the ETF’s. The big boys are trying to salvage their metal from the paper. LOTSA LUCK!

Toast-The Status Quo Strikes back…From Rico

The Italian referendum vote means the EU and the Euro are effectively toast.
– The results prompted an entirely rational flight to safety in the Gold market.
– It also prompted an entirely irrational bit of vengeance from the Status Quo, who monkey-f**ked the spot price downward in two huge $3.5 billion notional Gold dumps [read: nonexistent Gold].

These are the wild thrashings of a dying beast…
– Many who manage to stand clear of these death throes will be enjoying some tasty ‘beast pate’ on their toast.

5dec16-gold-manipulated-post-italeave-vote

If you haven’t rid yourself of that paper gold, you might be too late. Paper gold is overextended about 30 to 1. That means there is slim hope of getting gold from the EFT; more than likely you will get US dollars back. Those may be worthless which is why you bought the EFT’s to start.
All this rushing around now is what the poobahs are doing, trying to salvage their wealth.

Squealing Lefties

Ole ‘Dirtbag Harry’ Reid thought he was so slick with the change in filibuster rules. Reid thought that the Jackass Party would control the White House and the Congress forever. Reid thought wrong. Now the Donkeys cannot have a filibuster that will go anywhere since they don’t have the vote numbers to keep up their stall going.
Now their piper who played their tune is demanding payment.

Heh: Dem Senator Suddenly Regrets the ‘Reid Rule’ on Filibusters

Via Ed Morrissey, an amusing and hopelessly-belated mea culpa from one of the Senate’s more liberal Democrats who all of a sudden regrets his participation in Harry Reid’s 2013 partial nuke of the filibuster. Oh, it seemed like such a good idea at the time; those awful obstructionist Republicans weren’t giving President Obama everything he wanted, so something had to be done. Reid used a strong-arm move to change the Senate rules with a bare majority vote, eliminating the minority’s right to filibuster presidential nominations. Obama was the short-term beneficiary of the Reid Rule, installing his people as he saw fit, in both the executive branch and the federal judiciary (excepting the Supreme Court — more on that in a moment).  But now the proverbial shoe is on the other foot, and President Trump will have the opportunity to populate his administration with whomever he sees fit, not to mention a slew of district and circuit court judges. Cue the Democratic regret.  Seriously: Thanks, Harry Reid.  Come to think of it, if they really want to troll the Senate’s chief troll on his way out the door, the GOP caucus could sign a ‘thank you’ note to him for empowering conservatives and the Trump administration.  Meanwhile, here is Chris Coons expressing regret and making a terrible argument:

CNN: But Senator, also a rules change the Democrats put in place could also come back to bite you. I mean, I don’t get into the weeds, but Democrats made it much easier than a simple majority can push through presidential nominees. Democrats did it for themselves and now Republicans can do it as well.

COONS: That’s exactly right. The filibuster no longer acts as emergency brake on the nomination —

CNN: So do you regret that?

COONS: I do regret that. I frankly think many of us will regret that in this Congress because it would have been a terrific speed bump, potential emergency brake, to have in our system to slow down the confirmation of extreme nominees. We’re instead going to have to depend on the American people, on thorough hearings and/or persuading a number of Republicans in those cases where President-elect Trump might nominate someone, who is just too extreme to the American people. I’ll remind you that Secretary Clinton won the popular vote and that Democrat — Senate candidates won more votes. So I don’t think Trump has an overwhelming mandate. I do think Republicans are conscious of that.

“I do regret that,” he says, looking back wistfully upon his fateful 2013 decision to march in lockstep with Reid and strip away the very powers he how wishes he had at his disposal.  And I’d write a detailed response to his rubbish point about the presidential and Senate ‘popular votes,’ but oh look — I already did.  Another note: President Trump will have an immediate opportunity to nominate a Supreme Court justice, thanks to the Biden Rule.  Reid’s filibuster nuke gambit held out a fig leaf exception for SCOTUS, maintaining the possibility of a filibuster for those picks.  Liberals will undoubtedly squeal if he follows through on his promise and picks a strong (preferably young) constitutionalist in the mold of Scalia, and some on the Left will likely urge their Senators to mount filibusters — especially if Trump gets a second or third bite at the apple.  If Schumer and company try to block qualified Supreme Court nominees, the GOP should invoke the Kaine Rule (click through for an explanation) and expand the Reid Rule to include appointments to the high court.  It’s abundantly clear that Democrats were preparing to do so on behalf of President Hillary with their newly-recaptured Senate majority.  They said as much.  Oops.  Ed says it well: “Hope you enjoy the Senate majority you helped build in single-party governance, Mr. Coons. You deserve it.”

The setup with the filibuster prevented the majority from running roughshod over the minority. The donkeys didn’t like the fact that Obama wasn’t getting EVERYTHING he wanted in Federal Court judgeships and other postings.

Well Jackasses, paybacks are a bitch. In spite of Coons remorse and his belief that Trump doesn’t have a strong position, even a mandate, the contrary will prove to be true.

The GOPe also received the same warning that the Donks got. Screwing with Trump gets a comeuppance in two short years with the midterms.